Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.235621 0.267582 0.301792 0.341075 0.384881 0.432169 0.487018
2025-10-19 0.192258 0.234950 0.283625 0.343028 0.413346 0.493707 0.592260
2025-10-26 0.164067 0.213599 0.273215 0.349809 0.445116 0.559273 0.705779
2025-11-02 0.144184 0.198587 0.267272 0.359577 0.479492 0.629014 0.828430
2025-11-09 0.124155 0.180204 0.254167 0.357745 0.497668 0.678552 0.928211
2025-11-16 0.108412 0.165174 0.243188 0.356618 0.515358 0.727313 1.028911
2025-11-23 0.095386 0.152093 0.233047 0.354911 0.531071 0.773317 1.127659
2025-11-30 0.087170 0.144874 0.230134 0.362553 0.559585 0.837702 1.254521
2025-12-07 0.078261 0.135444 0.222806 0.362643 0.576563 0.886124 1.360877
2025-12-14 0.070605 0.127028 0.216019 0.362588 0.592729 0.933599 1.467689
2025-12-21 0.064141 0.119769 0.210214 0.363264 0.609555 0.982380 1.578321
2025-12-28 0.059444 0.114936 0.207753 0.368810 0.633923 1.043338 1.709813
2026-01-04 0.055756 0.111640 0.207799 0.378862 0.666813 1.120315 1.871850
2026-01-11 0.051298 0.106444 0.204101 0.382257 0.688960 1.181564 2.012531
2026-01-18 0.048043 0.103106 0.203295 0.390422 0.719371 1.257395 2.179977
2026-01-25 0.045521 0.100882 0.204229 0.401585 0.755387 1.343967 2.368751
2026-02-01 0.041501 0.095206 0.198260 0.399771 0.768615 1.393325 2.498622
2026-02-08 0.037991 0.090150 0.192954 0.398639 0.782747 1.444598 2.633719
2026-02-15 0.034762 0.085296 0.187559 0.396814 0.795305 1.493512 2.766728
2026-02-22 0.032943 0.083286 0.187585 0.405293 0.827087 1.577048 2.962530
2026-03-01 0.030440 0.079447 0.183535 0.405411 0.843130 1.633442 3.113395
2026-03-08 0.028153 0.075823 0.179586 0.405359 0.858696 1.689497 3.265827
2026-03-15 0.026140 0.072605 0.176188 0.406112 0.875721 1.748786 3.426313